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8pm Briefing: SMH to major resistance | XAU remains in focus

This Briefing, including any position ideas, is for illustrative and educational purposes only


1. Market Environment

Oil (WTI) -5% on latest claims of Iran progress

SPCX offers ~25% run off yesterday early low

NUGT strong on miners’ outperformance vs gold


2. Calendar


3. Market Signals

QQQ

Gap above Kijun —> back inside diamond to upper channel, with close above Kumo top

Resistance zone ~730–735 (Kijun)

Support ~725 (diamond boundary)

Daily chart:

SMH

Strong move through System ~553 resistance into air pocket

Kijun resistance ~580–595

Daily chart:

BTC

Hovering around Kijun.

~64000 remains key pivot zone


4. Active Positions

NUGT | GLD

XAU continues to ‘fan out’ in bullish form — series of down trends broken to upside

AEM led miners up over 4% at one point —> NUGT responded with fresh ~30 day high

System trigger — >AEM hit upper Daily B band — disciplined 50% profits on NUGT

Execution Plan —> hold remaining NUGT — vs AEM AUG 14 hedge

—> possible scale back up

NUGT target: ~130–150

XAU Daily chart:

LULU

Consolidation day —> holding inside Daily Kumo

Support |Resistance zone shifts to ~117 –121–124.50

Execution Plan —> holding common | Sep 140Cs | Aug hedge

Medium term target ~140

Daily chart:


5. Incubation

COST

SPCX

If you took trade —> strong 20%+ squeeze into ER print — strong close signal to take profits into print

Daily chart:


System Insight

Despite volatile geopolitical and AI headlines, price structure (Kijun | trend lines) continues to lead way.

8pm Briefing: SMH to major resistance | XAU remains in focus

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