1. Market Environment
After relentless US bombing of Iran, latest ceasefire story emerges
WTI (oil) trading -5%
XAU — testing regime change zone this evening
2. Calendar
GOOGL TSLA reports tomorrow
3. Market Signals
QQQ
Closed back inside diamond
Support |Resistance zone shifts to ~695–703–712
Daily chart:
SMH
Support |Resistance zone remains ~572–595–605
Daily chart:
BTC
Higher low — holding ~64K —> next reaction zone ~67K
Daily chart:
TSLA
Market took no prisoners post earnings —> take more right to bottom of wider channel formation
System watch for recovery setup
Daily chart:
4. Active Positions
NUGT | GLD
XAU ~4115 Sunday evening —> upside break of Kijun | trend line
Execution Plan —> hold, 4180 revisit GLD hedge
NUGT phase I target: ~130–150
XAU Daily chart:
Regime change zone —> shifts down to ~4080
MSFT — SEP 430C
Kijun test on Friday held —> looking for strong open
System focus —> ~410-415 regime change zone ahead of earnings
Daily chart:
LULU
Another firm bounce off (falling) Kijun
Execution Plan —> holding common | Sep 140Cs | Aug hedge
Medium term target ~140–160
5. Incubation
TSLA | SPCX
System Insight
Remain focused on core positions and price structure. Nothing else matters.