Economy | Geopolitical
Oil (WTI) traded lower on latest geopolitical soundbites —> claims ceasefire still in place
Jobs report Friday —> benign to positive reaction expected
QQQ — seasonal weakness lasted 1/2 day —> gap to new highs on oil pullback
—> ~690+ next target
May 670–660P spread entry yesterday @ net 1.90 —> close ~2.00
—> complete risk mitigation
AMD — (+60pts, total with AH) —> strong earnings | guidance
System discipline —> no emotional shorts into report
Position updates | Trades
NKE
Re-test of lows
Green doji in Daily chart —> reclaim of 2H Kijin (~44.15) return to positive structure
10:4 protection ratio remains with 42.5P hedge —> if re-test failure
TSLA
Next monetization triggered —> ~402
Execution —> sell 50%
—> Daily red Kumo – sloped down to ~402 —> monetization zone shifted from 408–410
Daily chart:
—> precise touch of Kumo —> closed -13 points from high
A/H —> re-test of decision zone | 2H Kijun (~385)
—> On deeper re-trace — next re-expansion move —> monetize 425C cover and close
Confirmation —> pre-market
QQQ
May 670–660P spread entry yesterday @ net 1.90 —> close ~2.00
—> no exposure to QQQ strength
Watch list | Notables
GLD / NUGT
System discipline on gap-up open —> no trigger
1H chart:
Early test of 1H Kijun | Kumo bottom —> failure
Reclaim of ~421 —> re-evaluate entry
JPM
See post in Incubator.
System Insight
TSLA monetization —> disciplined execution of plan
No emotion, no FOMO
—> respected Kumo top, adjusted targets —> executed