Briefing HQ

Structured market decisions.

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8pm Briefing: Execution on TSLA | Strong semis earnings

After market close —> Israel–Lebanon ceasefire extended by 3 weeks.

Oil WTI (95.40) —> markets immune to oil prices (now). Expect decline back below Kijun into tomorrow.

TSLA —> System plan executed.

Earnings reaction low —> test of 375/Kijun (368 low)

—> 50% entry at open (June 400C) @ 15.25 (low 13.80)

VIX —> brief expansion to 21.50 —> closed in ~19 pivot zone

Limit targets —> no changes (see HQ)

-2.0% —> retail weak again on oil / gas prices

Gap-fill —> 44.25

—> held May 45P hedge —> back below 2hr Kijun (~45.50)

Tested Daily Kijun (~930) early —> retrace to 912 —> ~917 close

Profit zone —> 960 / top of upper daily band

—> Exit or cover before earnings (Apr 30)

Covered above.

—> Closed just above Kijun.

—> On watch to double position to target sizing

System misfire —> after break to 488 —> 13 point retrace to 30 min support (~475) —> trade profitable

Mistake —> held out for 467.5 target

More strength expected tomorrow —> likely stop-out ahead of weekend.

BTC – holding ~78K zone —> 76K now ST support

MSTR —> expected retrace into OE today

In a case like SMH where was early —> as with first MSFT trade last week —> objectives have to shift to break-even +/-

Do Less. Execute more.