Economy | Geopolitical
Markets look immune to negative Iran headlines —> seasonal forces. Caution into OE.
Oil (WTI) – tested Daily Kijun today —> if break above —> likely pressure on equities
TSLA —> pop-fade on earnings. More below.
VIX —> break below 2hr Kijun with potential H/S —> uncommon situation —> successive ATHs with 19+ VIX (see chart)
Event calendar —> Major convergence next Wed, Apr 29
QQQ —> expect 2hr Kijun test (640, trending up) before 29th
Position updates | Trades
Limit targets —> no changes (see HQ)
NKE
-1.5% —> retail weak on oil / gas prices
2h Kijun – 45.30 | gap-fill 44.20
Hedge (May 45P) —> 44.20 profit-zone if not company news driven
LLY
System Entry —> Jun 1000C @ 27
L1 | 1 contract
Profit zone —> 960 / top of upper daily band
—> Exit or cover before earnings (Apr 30)
SMH
Day+ trade (short) —> May 1 465P @ 9.30
Brief retrace today (-3) reversed within 15 min
—> possible stop-out ahead of weekend.
Watch list | Notables
TSLA —> System discipline.
Earnings: EPS beat, top line miss —> reaction high ~405, fade to ~383 (so far)
Execution Plan —> 375/Kijun —> may wait until Friday PM
—> Confirmation pre-market
BTC – 78.6K —> below 15 min Kijun —> MSTR susceptible to OE profit taking
System Insight
UPS —> Disciplined execution yesterday – with eye on earnings early next week.
Stock off radar now. Up or down next week —> profits 🔒 —> onward.
HQ Cadence Update
Day trades will be posted in HQ with supporting X real-time notifications
—> No position cards (PSRs)
Further enhancements to position reporting forthcoming.