Macro: Geopolitical | Economy

Iran headlines continue to fade —> seasonal forces.

Oil -1.5%, below daily Kijun (WTI)

Pre-market:

QQQ —> 621, +4. Structure points to test of upper weekly boll towards 640.

QQQ, SPY —> erased Iran war losses

Active Positions

UPS

Up fractionally.

May 105C:

STC limit —> 50% @ 7.50 (good til Friday)

Hedge

Possible trigger to roll remaining value out 1 week

NKE

2hr Kijun —> 43.25

Jun 42.5C:

STC limit —> 50% @ 7.50 / 50% @ 9.00 (good til Friday)

—> NKE susceptible to activist rumors or other triggers that could force a spike to Daily Kijun (~50 area).

Not a prediction—> system readiness.

Watchlist

BTC (~75K) —> next inflection point. Cloud top, top of daily bollinger band.

Upside break —> ~82K

TSLA —> above 2hr Kijun, back to upper half of prior reaction zone.

System prevents entry with 2 active positions.